How AI Can Predict Payer Denial Pattern Shifts
Garrick Stoldt frames the relationship between payers and health systems as a constant back-and-forth, with payers regularly changing policies in ways that affect the ability to get paid and slow down the payment cycle. Traditional analysis of these shifts relies on looking retroactively at claims development over time, which creates a lag before health systems can recognize and respond to what is happening. AI can identify changing payer patterns much faster, allowing organizations to deploy counter-solutions before the problem compounds and requires additional staff resources.
The practical consequence of faster prediction is faster remediation. When a payer change is detected early, a process fix or automation can be built to address it before the volume of affected claims grows. That speed advantage is the core value Garrick sees AI delivering in claims denial management beyond its current use in account prioritization and eligibility.
Key Takeaway
Payer policy changes that slow payment cycles and drive denials have historically been discovered only after the damage accumulates. AI that detects shifting payer behavior early lets revenue cycle teams build solutions proactively, reducing both the revenue impact and the staffing burden of reactive denial management.
“It’s like a game of tennis. The payer creates a policy that now creates a problem for us. We need to create some sort of solution that addresses that problem so it doesn’t continue on us. And it’s just this back and forth.”
Garrick Stoldt, Chief Financial Officer, St. Peter's Healthcare System
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